Education & Child Services M&A

Last updated

In short

Education and child services M&A is rebounding unevenly: U.S. education deal volume rose 41% to 172 transactions in the first half of 2026 after a roughly 20% drop in 2025, and buyers have moved toward family-paid models such as childcare centers, enrichment and career training. Reported 2025 Education & Training deals priced at a 12.6x median EV/EBITDA for private equity buyers and 6.0x for strategics, while small owner-run education and childcare businesses sold at an average 2.88x seller's discretionary earnings. Funding source is the main dividing line: buyers pay more for revenue that does not depend on public budgets.

  • 172[1]

    U.S. education deals, H1 2026

    Up 41% year over year; 514 deals globally, up 77%

  • 782[3]

    Global Education & Training deals, 2025

    Up 6.7% from 733 (PitchBook data); 82.9% under $50M

  • 12.6x[3]

    Median EV/EBITDA, reported PE education deals, 2025

    Strategic buyers: 6.0x. Small, global sample of reported deals

  • 2.88x[4]

    Average cash-flow multiple, small Education & Children businesses

    Seller's discretionary earnings; $350,000 median sale price; sales from 2021 through 2025

  • 118,004[5]

    U.S. educational services establishments (NAICS 611), 2023

    Plus 82,162 child day care establishments (NAICS 624410)

M&A activity snapshot

Education deal flow is recovering after a hard 2025. Tyton Partners counted 514 global education deals in H1 2026, up 77%, and 172 U.S. deals, up 41%. That followed a year when global and U.S. education deal volume fell roughly 20%.

A second data set counts deals differently. R.L. Hulett, using PitchBook data, counted 782 Education & Training deals in 2025, up 6.7% from 733, with the lower middle market (under $50 million) at 82.9% of volume. The two series use different scopes, so they disagree on direction; both show most deals are small.

The market is fragmented. Census counted 118,004 educational services establishments and 82,162 child day care establishments in 2023. Large platforms change hands among sponsors: Harvest Partners bought a majority of The Learning Experience, with more than 430 schools, from Golden Gate Capital.

Who is buying

PE-backed platforms. Sponsors own most large childcare chains. After KinderCare's 2024 IPO, Partners Group still held about 71% of its common stock. At the top end, an EQT-led consortium completed its acquisition of Nord Anglia in a $14.5 billion transaction. Sponsor activity has cooled in the U.S.: the sponsor share of U.S. deals fell from 33% to 24% in H1 2026.

Franchise and multi-brand platforms. Roark Capital-backed Youth Enrichment Brands launched by acquiring i9 Sports, serving more than 600,000 kids a year at launch. These platforms buy franchisors and add brands across sports, tutoring and enrichment.

Strategic and public operators. Strategics held up better than PE in 2025: strategic M&A rose 4% globally while private equity activity dropped about 25%. Strategic investors also reach into new segments, as when DICK'S led a $120M round in Unrivaled Sports.

Independent sponsors and search funds. Below platform size, single-site centers, schools and programs often sell to individual buyers and small funds. Small deals dominate the count, and these buyers compete for businesses under platform minimums.

What buyers look for

Revenue that does not depend on public budgets. Tyton reports that as ESSER funding rolled off, investors shifted toward corporate learning, workforce development, healthcare training and early childhood centers. Sponsors favored models serving fee-paying families.

Enrollment and occupancy trend. Public operators show the spread. In Q2 2026, KinderCare reported 4.0% lower enrollment and closed 49 centers, while Bright Horizons grew revenue 7% to $779.2 million. Universal Technical Institute's new student starts rose 10.9%.

Clean licensing and approvals. Every segment carries a permit that must survive a sale: state childcare licenses and ratios, accreditation and federal student-aid approval for trade schools, background checks for youth programs, and state licenses for driving schools. Buyers check these before price.

Durability against AI and policy shifts. Online and district-funded tutoring has weakened. Nerdy's Q2 2026 revenue fell 4% and it is winding down its schools business. In-person, family-paid instruction draws more interest.

What makes a strong company

An education or child services business that draws premium interest usually shows:

  • Mostly private-pay or employer-paid revenue, with subsidy or government revenue a minority.
  • Enrollment or occupancy that is rising, with waitlists or documented retention.
  • Licenses, accreditation and franchise agreements in good standing, with transfer paths understood.
  • Staff who stay through a sale: center directors, lead teachers, instructors and coaches.
  • Several sites or programs, or a clear way to add them.
  • Pricing power. The national average price of child care was $13,184 in 2025.

Valuation and deal structure

Size sets the multiple. Reported 2025 Education & Training deals had a median 12.6x EV/EBITDA for PE buyers and 6.0x for strategic buyers, and median revenue multiples of 1.0x and 1.2x. Hulett notes these medians come from a small sample of deals that report multiples.

Small businesses trade on owner earnings instead. BizBuySell's Education and Children segment averaged 0.84x revenue and 2.88x cash flow, with a $350,000 median sale price, on sales from 2021 through 2025. The same data shows day care and child care centers at 3.27x and schools at 2.63x. Cash flow there means seller's discretionary earnings, which runs higher than EBITDA, so the two measures are not directly comparable.

Deals often stall on price. Tyton estimates that as many as ~40% of launched U.S. PE sale processes stalled amid bid-ask gaps. Earnouts tied to enrollment and seller rollover into a platform are common ways to bridge that gap, though no public source tracks how often each is used in education. Owners can test their numbers with the valuation tool.

Subindustries

Each segment below has its own buyers, regulations and KPIs. Childcare and career training draw the most platform interest; driving schools and youth programs are smaller and more local.

Outlook

Expect a slow, selective recovery through 2027. Funding shifts point buyers toward private-pay segments: the 2025 tax law raised the employer childcare credit from 25% to 40%, and its cap from $150,000 to $500,000, and Workforce Pell opens Pell grants to short programs of 150-599 clock hours.

Demographics are a long-term headwind for childcare and K-12. U.S. births decreased by 1% to 3,606,400 in 2025. Operators that can raise price and keep enrollment full will set the market; the rest will be consolidated or closed.


Own an education or child services business? Run the valuation tool, or read why vertical-focused buyers outperform generalists.

Frequently asked questions

Is education M&A recovering in 2026?

Yes, unevenly. Tyton Partners counted 172 U.S. education deals in H1 2026, up 41%, after U.S. and global deal volume fell roughly 20% in 2025. In H1 2026 the U.S. sponsor share of deals fell from 33% to 24%, so strategics carried more of the rebound.

What multiple do education businesses sell for?

It depends heavily on size. Reported 2025 Education & Training deals had a median 12.6x EV/EBITDA for PE buyers and 6.0x for strategics. Small owner-run education and children's businesses sold at an average 2.88x seller's discretionary earnings, a different measure from EBITDA.

Which education segments are buyers most interested in?

Models paid by families or employers. Tyton reports sponsors favored fee-paying K-12 networks and enrichment models in 2025, and that nearly 25% of H1 2026 PreK-12 deals were in early childhood.

How did the end of ESSER funding affect education M&A?

It pushed capital away from district-funded businesses. States and districts received nearly $190 billion in ESSER funds, with an obligation deadline of September 30, 2024, and U.S. PreK-12 deal volume fell 35% in 2025.

Why do education deals take longer to close?

Many education businesses hold licenses or approvals that must transfer: state childcare licenses, accreditation, franchise consent, and for schools that take federal student aid, Department of Education review. Tyton also estimates that as many as ~40% of launched U.S. PE sale processes stalled in H1 2026 amid bid-ask gaps.

Does Axia value or sell education businesses?

No. Axia sources buy-side deal flow and introduces owners to buyers; it does not value businesses, negotiate terms or represent sellers. Owners can get a starting point from the valuation tool.

Sources

  1. H1 2026 Education Sector Deal Recap: The Rebound, Realized – Unevenly — Tyton Partners, 2026-07-20 (accessed 2026-10-03)
  2. 2025 Education Sector Deal Recap: A Year of Reset and Disruption — Tyton Partners, 2026-01-13 (accessed 2026-10-03)
  3. Education & Training M&A Update Q4 2025 — R.L. Hulett (PitchBook data), 2026-01 (accessed 2026-10-03)
  4. Industry Valuation Multiples (archived April 3, 2026) — BizBuySell (via Internet Archive), 2026-04 (accessed 2026-10-03)
  5. County Business Patterns 2023, U.S. national file — U.S. Census Bureau, 2025 (accessed 2026-10-03)
  6. Harvest Partners Announces Acquisition of The Learning Experience — Harvest Partners (PR Newswire), 2025-07 (accessed 2026-10-03)
  7. Partners Group portfolio company KinderCare prices IPO and lists on New York Stock Exchange — Partners Group, 2024-10 (accessed 2026-10-03)
  8. EQT consortium completes acquisition of Nord Anglia Education — EQT, 2025-03-20 (accessed 2026-10-03)
  9. Youth Enrichment Brands Launches with Acquisition of i9 Sports — Youth Enrichment Brands, 2021-10 (accessed 2026-10-03)
  10. Unrivaled Sports Announces DICK'S Sporting Goods as New Strategic Investor — Unrivaled Sports (via Nasdaq), 2025-05 (accessed 2026-10-03)
  11. Bright Horizons Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results (8-K Exhibit 99.1) — Bright Horizons (SEC), 2026-07 (accessed 2026-10-03)
  12. KinderCare Reports Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results (8-K Exhibit 99.1) — KinderCare Learning Companies (SEC), 2026-08-13 (accessed 2026-10-03)
  13. Universal Technical Institute Reports Third Quarter Fiscal 2026 Results (8-K Exhibit 99.1) — Universal Technical Institute (SEC), 2026-08 (accessed 2026-10-03)
  14. Lincoln Educational Services Second Quarter 2026 Results (8-K Exhibit 99.1) — Lincoln Educational Services (SEC), 2026-08 (accessed 2026-10-03)
  15. Nerdy Second Quarter 2026 Results (8-K Exhibit 99.1) — Nerdy Inc. (SEC), 2026-08 (accessed 2026-10-03)
  16. How States Are Planning for the End of ESSER — Council of Chief State School Officers, 2024 (accessed 2026-10-03)
  17. U.S. Births down 1% in 2025 — CDC National Center for Health Statistics, 2026-04-09 (accessed 2026-10-03)
  18. Child Care in America: 2025 Price & Supply — Child Care Aware of America, 2026 (accessed 2026-10-03)
  19. One Big Beautiful Bill Act Implements Significant Tax Package — Center for Agricultural Law and Taxation, Iowa State University, 2025-07 (accessed 2026-10-03)
  20. One Big Beautiful Bill Act (OBBBA): Federal Pell Grant Updates and Eligible Workforce Programs — U.S. Department of Education, Federal Student Aid, 2026-03 (accessed 2026-10-03)

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